More than Words…And Airstrikes

I was surprised when I first heard about the Obama Administration’s decision to spearhead a US-led airstrike campaign against ISIL in Iraq a few months ago. As an Assyrian-American – the same ethnicity as one of the many Christian minority groups ISIL has targeted and massacred – I was thrilled that the United States was finally taking military action against ISIL. However, today, I, like many Americans, am frustrated by the seeming lack of impact these airstrikes have had.

Contrary to popular belief, the Obama Administration has been warned about the threat posed by ISIL since the beginning of 2014 and has only recently begun to take action. Despite the fact that the Obama Administration has vocalized its mission to “degrade and destroy” ISIL on several occasions, the only way in which the Administration has followed up on this mission is through airstrikes. These airstrikes have proven to have had a limited effect when it comes to aiding those suffering in the region or limiting ISIL’s military capabilities. Though the airstrikes have somewhat degraded the military capabilities of ISIL, it is clear that it will take much more than airstrikes to fully dismantle ISIL. Attacks from above alone will not bring ISIL to its knees. 

Already, the public’s support for the Obama Administration’s ISIL strategy is eroding, and for good reason. Contrary to President Obama’s “no boots on the ground” strategy, support for sending troops into combat operations against ISIL is increasing. Americans are also growing more concerned that ISIL will orchestrate an attack in the United States. We cannot know for sure if the threat of an American terrorist attack is imminent; however, by not taking a stronger stand against ISIL abroad, the United States and the Obama Administration could be making a strategic error that could have real ramifications for the U.S. as ISIL continues to grow.

Nearly every time the world has seen tragedy in the form of mass killing, whether it be Rwanda, Darfur, or Cambodia—the United States has sworn its most famous and favorite promise: “never again.” However, by August of this year, ISIL had killed nearly 10,000 civilians, and, just this week, ISIL killed 322 members of an Iraqi Sunni tribe. If the United States government and the Obama Administration want to stay true to this mantra, they must either commit more American resources, perhaps even in the form of boots on the ground, to fight against ISIL or ally with other nations who have verbally committed to destroying ISIL and encourage them to take concrete action. The airstrikes are simply not cutting it.

- Nika Arzoumanian

Photo: News Talk Florida

A Great Leap Forward or The Status Quo?

From October 20th to October 23rd, the Chinese Communist Party hosted the Central Committee 4th Annual Plenum, which focused on the enforcement of rule of law in the country. This particular gathering of key Chinese Communist Party leaders marks the first time that rule of law will be formally discussed on such a public stage. In a country where judicial power is heavily regulated by the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (China’s legislative body), many scholars, particularly those from the West, hail this new focus as a positive development for China’s future. 

Indeed, coupled with President Xi Jinping’s much-publicized campaign to crackdown on corruption, some may say China’s future has never looked more promising. However, reflection after the plenum indicates something different: while the Xi government plans to institute reforms such as the development of circuit courts and the promotion of transparency during judicial proceedings, no concrete policies have been outlined to achieve these objectives. While the connections between sustainable economic growth, corruption, and law were reinforced at the plenum, the Chinese government did not institute any tangible methods to implement these policies.

As progressive as some may want to call these reforms, the plenum began by reaffirming the necessity of the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party to build “socialist rule of law with Chinese characteristics.” What exactly does this mean? This widely known Chinese political categorization implies a fusion of Soviet-style socialism and Confucian/Buddhist influences regarding governance and judicial systems. Observers who are hoping for gradual or radical democratization will not get it anytime soon.

Although the government discussed the continuation of a number of long-running initiatives, such as the crackdown on corruption, perhaps the government’s most interesting emphasis was on the importance of the Chinese Constitution as central to the enforcement of rule of law. This has been particularly reinforced through the designating of a “National Constitution Day” on December 4th in which schoolchildren can partake in civic activity and the general public is to be made aware of the rights and duties they have as Chinese citizens. This move is particularly striking, as the Chinese Constitution is not given as much importance as Chinese “policy suggestions”: Five Year Plans, speeches, and informal and formal policy suggestions from the Party leadership. 

There is a hope that stronger enforcement of Constitution will alleviate the seizure of private property, particularly in rural areas, and begin a more widespread push for human rights, but Mr. Xi and his government do not seem to have formulated a tangible plan to begin executing on these priorities. Perhaps there is another purpose in highlighting the importance of the Chinese Constitution: the document contains the duties of Chinese citizens as well as their rights. One such duty is that citizens should not infringe on state interests when exercising their rights and freedoms, which might be another point of emphasis when teaching or learning about the Constitution. 

Perhaps the most important announcement was the government’s declaration of a “sunshine” judiciary policy, a conscious attempt to install transparency and accountability in the judicial system. Such a policy would insulate the Supreme People’s Procuratorate (the highest court in China) from government influence and hold judicial officials accountable for their decisions even after retirement – all steps that make Mr. Xi’s government look like it is serious about ending some of the judiciary’s more questionable practices. While the casual mentioning of increasing accountability of transparency might move China in a more progressive direction, it should be noted that no information has been shared regarding the proceedings of high-profile corruption cases of former Politburo member Zhou Youkang and former vice-chairman of the Central Military Commission General Xu Caihou. However, the fear that these policies are nothing but empty words to impress the international community and the Chinese people is very tangible.

- Anjana Sreedhar 

America: The World’s Superhero?

In his September 10 speech outlining U.S. strategy against ISIL, President Obama made the case for America’s indispensable leadership in the world.

In his concluding line the president stated “our own safety, our own security, depends upon our willingness to do what it takes to defend this nation and uphold the values that we stand for.” This one line, tucked away at the end of the speech, signals a drastic turn in Mr. Obama’s foreign policy.

From Clark Kent to Superman

Mr. Obama’s previous doctrine is best described as pragmatic realism. He did not use military force to resolve a situation unless it was a direct threat to American interests. Mr. Obama struck a deal to remove chemical weapons from Syria, but showed he was not willing to put Americans in danger to do it, let alone protect the repressed population. Russia’s annexation of Crimea, as troublesome as it was for international community, did not pose a direct threat to the United States. The Arab Spring, as momentous as it was for the spread of freedom and democracy, garnered no more than American air support in Libya.

ISIL is a potential threat to U.S. citizens, so combating it is consistent with Mr. Obama’s previous doctrine. Now, however, the United States’ rescue of the Yazidis – a religious minority that Americans have never heard of – has marked a turning point in American foreign policy. The U.S. has shifted from a guardian of Americans to a guardian of humanity. Obama has made America the world’s superhero.

Cynics will say the president’s speech was a moral justification for action the U.S. would have taken anyway; one of those pleasant coincidences in U.S. foreign policy where idealism aligns with realism. But Mr. Obama’s speech indicated more than wartime rhetoric. His call for “broad American leadership” included a commitment to American values:

Our endless blessings bestow an enduring burden. But as Americans, we welcome our responsibility to lead. From Europe to Asia, from the far reaches of Africa to war-torn capitals of the Middle East, we stand for freedom, for justice, for dignity.

Throughout U.S. history, American foreign policy has been most effective when it has fought for its values abroad when threatened at home. Made fashionable by President Woodrow Wilson, defending the universality of U.S. values has been a trademark of American foreign policy. But this history is also littered with vacuous calls by U.S. presidents to stand up for freedom around the world. Few have actually made good on this promise. Those who did have had track records ranging from the victory of World War II and the Cold War to the Fall of Saigon and the Iraq War.

The Danger of Jokers

Promises of freedom also have a history of heartbreak and backlash from those who took the U.S. at its word and were then abandoned. When President George H.W. Bush urged the Kurds to rise up against Saddam Hussein after the first Gulf War, the United States stood by as they were gassed by Iraqi helicopters, allowing the dictatorship in Iraq to consolidate its power. In 1919, President Wilson sold out Chinese self-determination in Shandong for Japanese acceptance of the League of Nations, sparking the anti-western May 4th Movement and the ascendance of the Chinese Communist Party. Following classic comic book plot, America’s betrayal of its principles birthed its own future villains.

It is a noble but risky venture for America to commit itself to upholding broad values. When it succeeds, it not only wins a military victory, but also increases U.S. reputation and attractiveness across the world. This, in turn, makes the United States safer. But when it betrays its covenants with the world it compromises its reputation around the globe. It exposes itself to accusations of hypocrisy and callousness – the same accusations that are used to recruit disillusioned nationalists to fight for communism or religious fundamentalism.

The U.S. must be careful which values it promises to uphold and to whom. The world will hold America to them, and betrayal will ring stronger than apathy. This is not a cause for isolationism, but a reason for caution and deliberation in what commitments are made.

If Not U.S., then Who?

What values can and should America uphold? Is it Superman, who tackles any injustice single-handedly, no matter how large? Or will it be more like Captain America, acting as the jacked Boy Scout and rallying others to fight evil together? Or will it be like Batman, enacting vigilante justice? Which superhero does the United States have the capacity and will to be?

Will it really stand with those who fight for themselves, as President Obama promised? Come to their aid when they light the signal? These are the questions this column will explore over the course of the next few months.

The new role Mr. Obama will take has yet to be seen. But one thing is certain: no one else can answer the call. The United States remains the world’s sole superpower, and the only nation capable of even considering dauntless heroism. When the small and the helpless cry for help against oppressive tyrants, it is America who must respond. Like Uncle Ben said, with great power comes great responsibility.

It’s just a matter of which hood and cape Mr. Obama should don.

- Ian Manley

The Climate is Changing, The Politics Are Not

Too often in our country, the severity and magnitude of the climate change crisis is lost in the fracas of political partisanship, preventing desperately needed policy from being formulated and implemented. The House Science, Space, and Technology Committee’s hearing on September 17, entitled “The Administration’s Climate Plan: Failure By Design”, is evidence of this. Obliged to speak on the discordant nature of the conversations on climate change at the hearing, Rep. Bill Posey(R-FL) stated: “There’s a lot of venom flowing on both sides of this issue, which I am afraid hinders more direct discussion of the facts.”  

When the U.N. Climate Summit took place last Monday, there was hope that the international setting would provide leaders with the opportunity to leverage the collective discussion toward establishing definitive goals and adhering to binding agreements. It was thought that when confronted by representatives of countries critically impacted by rising sea levels and erratic weather patterns, leaders would be quick to recognize the value in substantively working towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions and supporting especially vulnerable nations. Unfortunately, this scenario has never played out – and time and time again, developed nations, faced with little to no incentive to combat the trends endangering our future, have turned a blind eye to the facts and left critically affected nations to languish.

These repeat refusals to acknowledge the facts have proven that a state centered approach to looking at the issue of climate change is ineffective, as these countries often have real incentives to ignore the crisis. This primarily stems from the fact that political leaders believe that by restraining carbon emissions, they will thereby restrain economic growth and preside over suffering economies while their enemies prosper. Such arguments have been popular – American leaders like Rep. Lamar Smith (R-TX), have made arguments against implementing the Environmental Protection Agency’s proposal for carbon cutting regulation by citing the fact that China’s high pollution levels will offset whatever progress the U.S. makes.

The inability to enforce legally binding international treaties similarly impedes accountability. The 1997 Kyoto Protocol is a prime example of the lack of consistency on an issue that inherently affects every global player, and would benefit largely from concerted action. The U.S. has never ratified the Protocol, and Canada withdrew from it in 2011.

The scale with which countries face direct and immediate threats from climate change is another way in which the lack of incentive is manifested. Developing countries, a subset of countries specifically excluded from the Kyoto Protocol’s directive to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, can not realistically experience the same degree of growth industrialized countries have had the opportunity to if their access to carbon emitting production was to be limited. For nations like the U.S., whose economic livelihood is not literally underwater, as many others are, it becomes simpler to look more closely at affected areas. Developing nations and those critically impacted, ultimately, are forced to look to other solutions.

Real progress will not be made until sustainability, accountability, and vulnerability are factored into every collective policy decision. This will only occur when the dangers posed by climate change and its subsequent effects on economies and governments around the world become apparent to all.

- Sabine Teyssier

America Votes 2014: Once More ‘Round the Carousel: What the midterm elections really do and don’t mean for America

The Washington echo chamber has spent the past year or so rattling away about the repercussions of the impending midterm congressional elections. As always, partisans on both sides of the political spectrum claim that, on November 4th, the nation’s fate will once again hang in the balance as Americans decide the future of the country.

But are the stakes truly this high? What impact is this election really going to have on the future of our country?

Let’s look at the possible outcomes. For starters, the House is a lost cause for Democrats. As observed by election watchers like Larry Sabato, there are only 37 truly competitive races in this cycle, with 21 of those races against an incumbent Democrat. That means that, in order to regain the House Majority, Democrats would not only need to hold onto these seats, but take an additional 17 more in the process. That’s a tall order during a President’s sixth year in the White House, when a President’s party has historically lost seats in both chambers of Congress.

So what about the Senate? While control for this chamber seemed up in the air just a few months ago, the last few weeks have brought with them a sense of dread for Democrats – underwater poll numbers for Senate candidates in Alaska, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Kentucky have increased the perception that Republicans are likely to take back the chamber for the first time since 2007. As it stands, the New York Times’ the Upshot puts the Republicans’ chances of gaining a majority at 58% – nothing to sneeze at, but certainly not a lock for the GOP.

Either way, the next two years look bleak for Washington: should the Democrats hang onto the majority, what is going to change? The House will continue to be the graveyard of Senate bills and visa versa, budget battles will rear their heads once again, and so the toxic political climate that has gripped the world’s greatest deliberative body will remain toxic.

And if the Republicans find themselves in the majority? Sure, we’ll see some change – expect the President to wield his veto pen more often, the approval of judicial nominees to grind to a halt, and the Administration to deal with more paperwork than ever as Senate committees start re-investigating Benghazi, Fast & Furious, healthcare.gov, and everything else on the GOP’s list of greatest hits. Even the most optimistic electoral predictions see no way for the GOP to reach 60, let alone 67 seats, giving them no way to override a veto or invoke cloture solely on party lines, limiting their ability to overcome Democratic opposition – and leaving the Senate as stalemated as it is today.

What changes for everyone outside of Washington? The short answer: nothing. Both parties will remain at loggerheads on nearly every issue, and we can only expect party lines to harden as the 2016 campaign season begins (but let’s face it – in the eyes of many, that has already begun). The only thing that seems to have stirred Congress out of its slumber recently is the rise of ISIL – if it takes the beheading of Americans to make Congress agree on an issue, then we’re in trouble.

Some may say that this all makes for a cynical prognosis. The sad part is that many would say that this isn’t cynical – it’s simply the way things are.

- Alex Hasapidis

Race with China—The Environmental Leg?

In late April, the world’s biggest carbon emitter, China, revised its environmental protection laws for the first time in twenty-five years. According Xinhua, the Chinese state news agency, the revisions will allow for stricter punishments against companies or individuals caught polluting the environment. This comes after the country had long rejected adhering to clean energy standards in fear of hindering its economic growth and production.

China’s shift in position regarding clean energy regulations can be attributed to the hazardous consequences of pollution the country is now witnessing on the health of its citizens. Faced with high levels of water and soil contamination, declining animal populations, and dangerously low air quality, Chinese prime minister, Li Keqiang, stated that China is ready to “declare war” on pollution.

Although the idea may seem laughable at first, can China simultaneously be “declaring war” on the U.S. in terms of challenging it to adopt more clean energy policies? While the U.S has always remained at the forefront of the international environmental movement, it has been just as stubborn as China in accepting clean energy standards. However, now, a week after China made its bold move to increase its enforcement of environmental law, the Obama administration unveiled a sweeping climate change report termed “The National Climate Assessment.” The report lays out specifically what effects climate change is having on certain geographic regions of the U.S. and what could happen if they are not addressed. In response to the rollout, the administration is expected to make more of an effort to expand its climate initiative.

If China wanted to challenge the U.S., it certainly did. Now that China has taken the international clean energy initiative more seriously, the pressure is on for the U.S. to follow. However, this may not come easy. According to The New York Times, as the Obama administration is beginning to shore up public support for the president’s climate policies, Republicans are already accusing the President of plotting, not a “war on pollution” but a “war on coal.” The release of the new report is sure to cause a major political battle this upcoming summer, and rest assured, the international community WILL be watching.

Reading Rec: China’s Crackdown on Corruption

China’s finally going after one of the richest families in the country and investigating the source of their wealth. Does this mean that corruption is finally diminishing? Absolutely not. Several members of the Zhou family have been detained by authorities and whereabouts unknown. It is going to be interesting to follow where the investigation will lead.

Read more here.

The Great Schism Finally in Reverse

This year’s Easter falling on the same date for Eastern Orthodox Christians and Roman Catholics characterizes the ever-improving relationship between the two Christian denominations. The Orthodox and Catholic churches split after their historic “schism” in 1054. However, since the middle of the 20th century, dignitaries of the long disconnected faiths have made great strides toward increasing communication and cooperation. 

Last year, the spiritual head of the Eastern Orthodox Church, Patriarch Bartholomew I, attended the inaugural Mass of Pope Francis. This was the first meeting of its kind between leaders of the two churches since their schism and helped continue the discussion for ecumenism, or the promotion of Christian unity. Goodwill between the two faiths is expected to continue as Bartholomew and Francis have made plans to meet each other on their pilgrimage to Jerusalem in May.

Two historically divided faiths reconciling their differences peacefully will serve as a positive example for other antagonistic religious factions. Although the idea of the Orthodox and Catholic churches integrating may be idealistic at best, simple dialogue and deference between leaders of the faiths will undoubtedly go a long way in mending their hackneyed divide. Heads of spiritual groups currently in violent conflict should turn to the West and realize that conflicts, no matter how deep-seeded they may be, can be resolved.  

Reading Rec: The Drone Race Takes Off On Multiple Fronts

In 2011, The New York Times published an article titled, “Coming Soon: The Drone Arms Race.” The article foresaw a new “Arms Race” commencing, this time not in pursuit of the nuclear bomb, but in a new weapon, which to some is even more startling— the unmanned drone. Defense departments in nations across the globe have recognized the drone’s utility in combat and surveillance due to its precision, agility, and elusiveness. According to President Obama regarding drone operations: “Simply put, these strikes have saved lives.” The technology has been aggressively pursued and proliferated by countries in fear of falling behind one another militarily.

The competition for drones exists not only in the defense sector. Large private sector companies are beginning to wage their own wars for the technology in order to “stay ahead of the curve.” The Wall Street Journal released an article yesterday announcing that in the midst of Google and Facebook’s, “…battle to extend their influence,” Google has acquired a maker of solar-powered drones. The drones it plans to develop, will allow it to deliver faster data speeds to its customers.

I highly recommend reading the WSJ article. Keeping in mind the technology’s current military applications and combat capabilities, while reading, I couldn’t help but question whether the technology is potentially helping to weaponize private companies. The idea that Google or Facebook would ever attempt to physically harm anyone seems farfetched but with the power of the Internet expanding and its security becoming proportionally more questionable, these questions need to be raised. Given the significance of the services that these companies provide, if the technology fell into the wrong hands, the fallout would be catastrophic. With this considered, can private companies be trusted with drone technology? Is the “Drone Race” in the private sector, safe?